Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 4.246629 4.578080 4.934331 5.347667 5.816531 6.334842 6.955306
2025-05-04 3.784583 4.259523 4.805963 5.489620 6.334444 7.361507 8.732823
2025-05-11 3.444361 3.983018 4.630452 5.482420 6.600470 8.058922 10.181849
2025-05-18 3.204826 3.783248 4.502354 5.487476 6.845999 8.728896 11.693186
2025-05-25 2.947121 3.529594 4.271245 5.317267 6.813992 8.987536 12.632564
2025-06-01 2.750966 3.335449 4.095103 5.194174 6.819601 9.283662 13.673651
2025-06-08 2.630169 3.228677 4.022924 5.202642 7.009077 9.877971 15.350393
2025-06-15 2.553207 3.173158 4.013291 5.295214 7.330978 10.730655 17.735923
2025-06-22 2.396186 2.997905 3.822660 5.099885 7.169974 10.728054 18.405120
2025-06-29 2.273175 2.862807 3.680185 4.964934 7.090835 10.855511 19.387147
2025-07-06 2.165721 2.743808 3.553467 4.843564 7.019848 10.984118 20.408912
2025-07-13 2.100286 2.680715 3.504160 4.838983 7.146862 11.508519 22.571168
2025-07-20 2.063497 2.661436 3.525313 4.960736 7.533722 12.673863 27.121456
2025-07-27 2.026494 2.640657 3.544092 5.082989 7.945592 14.012091 33.180366
2025-08-03 1.962352 2.575942 3.490330 5.076426 8.109528 14.836403 38.240749
2025-08-10 1.906056 2.519754 3.445830 5.080913 8.294659 15.760778 44.603296
2025-08-17 1.820641 2.415599 3.319230 4.929498 8.140682 15.790218 47.152766
2025-08-24 1.749988 2.331055 3.219845 4.819814 8.062120 16.006940 50.933134
2025-08-31 1.708130 2.288793 3.186441 4.827364 8.235547 16.964586 60.048607
2025-09-07 1.683639 2.272091 3.193527 4.909858 8.585474 18.548951 76.363203
2025-09-14 1.612060 2.179082 3.069616 4.735691 8.329644 18.206420 77.959911
2025-09-21 1.554373 2.106127 2.976438 4.615130 8.187719 18.207151 82.815162
2025-09-28 1.502021 2.039944 2.892036 4.506537 8.063508 18.243939 88.401939